Limited purchase the fist is very strong

"9 29" property market the second round of regulation of the New deal issued a formal full moon, from all over the vague present but still have not been confirmed by the data "unsubscribe", "check-out" in the tide, in addition to a glimpse of the "limit loans", "limit the purchase" of the power of the policy, but also contains the market in the buyer's expectations of falling prices are showing. However, this reporter looking back at the full moon after the new deal in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou Three property market has found that, although the property market control measures gradually heating, has been "very to the force", but in the adjustment of the state of the price drop is still very limited.　　However, many people in the industry expect, with the shrinking of turnover, the market wait and see mood gradually thick, under the pressure of the Fund developers can only to change the price, the price "real fall" in the future can still be. Before and after the national Day, with Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Nanjing and other areas of the introduction of limited purchase orders, less than 1 months time, already 14 cities have issued a restraining order. From the effect of the limited purchase order, coupled with strict restrictions on the third set of mortgages and interest rates and other factors, the big cities wait and see the atmosphere is strong, the September sales momentum no longer appear, a considerable number of investment buyers due to restrictions on the purchase and loan factors and temporary not shot. However, while most cities do not specify the time limit for buying, many fear that once the restrictions are lifted, the pent-up demand will be flooded.　　Therefore, how to ensure that the property market is still healthy and stable after the lifting of the restrictions, the real estate tax is likely to be the ultimate resort to sacrifice. First-line city scans Guangzhou: New building opens low-key price opening up just past October, under the influence of the imminent announcement of the limited purchase order, the Guangzhou property market has been officially promulgated as a result of the 15th purchase order, which has undergone a period of first yang and inhibition, and the net sign was maintained at an alarming level in the past few days before 15th, Then it fell sharply back to 3-digit levels. But the volume of the whole month will still hit a new high, there are institutional monitoring shows that up to the current October Canton 10 volume has more than 15000 sets, the chain September growth of more than 1 time times, and 10 of the average price of 13277 yuan/square meters, the chain down 0.15%.　　In view of the current situation, Guangzhou house prices did not appear substantial decline. Many people in the industry believe that the policy of high pressure deal is so amazing, in fact, is caused by a number of factors. First, at the end of September a number of new disk grab brake, and deal ideal, but due to the lag of the network sign, its transactions are reflected in the deal in October, including many of the volume of the sale of the sale of thousands of sales on the same day nearly a decade of small ya, and in the Mid-Autumn Festival during the opening of a few hot plate June Wah Square, Jinghua Yi, Vanke, China Court, The opening day of the deal is over hundred sets, but it is also reflected in the October deal; second, the 11 period, although the policy pressure, but the main rigid demand, and the total price of more than 1.2 million yuan in the real estate market is still in hot pursuit, such as the Times South Bay, Investment Valley, a product of Lake Hill and the city of Accor. As for the government project of the Asian Games, because of its own particularity and better investment prospects, the deal is also red; third, due to the "9 29" New Deal, a number of cities launched a limitedPurchase order, Guangzhou also released the wind, so the market appeared a limited purchase before the "snapping up the tide", home buyers steal the brakes, and developers also accelerated the signing, so that the number of days before 15th, the net sign of an explosion. Reporter visit found that under the New Deal regulation, some of the contrarian open properties than before, not too much publicity and promotional activities, at the same time in the open to take a blow price than the opening of a section of the marketing model, to attract buyers into the market. In the south-south part of a real estate in the new deal after opening a very low-key, in addition to the opening of the model after the launch of the delivery of 50,000 yuan in good faith can enjoy 95 percent discount activities, in the marketing has no special means. In terms of quotations, sales staff have consistently maintained prices to the high office style, so that people produce a real estate price increases a lot of illusion. But in the opening day price is slightly lower than the previous 20,000 yuan/square meter quotation, in fact, only a small part of the high level of the price of more than 20,000 yuan/square meters, while the other floor units average prices in 18000 yuan/square meters, and a small number of 17600 yuan/square meters of units,　　At the end of the day the sale of nearly half of the volume of about hundred sets. Hu Wanting, director of the Center for Jingwei Research, said that the central bank announced a rate hike of 0.25% per cent on October 19, following two new policies and local restrictions at the end of September, and that the next day the Ministry also raised the interest rate on deposit and loan of the Provident Fund, further strengthening the strength of the property market regulation, The first rate hike in three years means the adjustment of credit policy. Moderately loose monetary policy has begun to tighten as asset-price bubbles, which are expected to be controlled by loose monetary policy, will ease inflationary pressures, partly because of inflation expectations of homeowners seeking to preserve their assets or return to a wait-and-see situation. In addition, raising interest rates means that the cost of home purchase increases, but also means that developers will increase the incentive to reduce prices. Higher bank lending rates mean that developers already have the cost of the loans will improve, although not as far as the developers have too much impact, but does not mean that the developers can still withstand the continuous rate hike. Now financial institutions have tightened new development loans, developers of financing channels narrowed, so the choice of private capital and trust platform of such financing channels, the corresponding cost increases, if the cost of bank loans due to successive interest rate increases further, then the developer's funds will be more difficult to run, then only to accelerate the sale of money back. In this scenario, do not rule out some of the capital pressure or have been taking a rapid sales strategy of the housing enterprises in the current round of interest rate hikes in the first price, to achieve rapid withdrawal of funds.　　The expected change in house prices means more buyers will be caught on the sidelines, and when the market is caught up in a continuous wait-and-see situation, it is not far from the developer's price. Shanghai: Luxury mansion selling a high price of "9 29" New Deal Full Moon, Shanghai property market, such as the general weather encountered cold, commodity housing turnover continued to decline. But the ordinary people most concerned about the housing prices but "poor performance", only a small number of peripheral property slightly downward, far from the "fall" degree. Some insiders pointed out that at present, the average price of housing in Shanghai still stands at more than 22000 yuan/square meters of this high price of one of the important reasons is the Shanghai Star River and other luxury mansion in this month's centralized transactions. According to the Han Real estate market Research department released the first-hand room data, October 18 ~ 24th this week, the total price of apartments in Shanghai has risen to 22406 yuan/square meters, the chain Rose 13.4%, became the nearly two-month average price of the new high. But after deducting the price effect of the two mansions, Shanghai Xinghe Bay, Ren Heng Yi Court, the average apartment in Shanghai is only 17958 yuan/square meters. But the reporter found in the interview, even if the expensive mansion excluding outside, Shanghai property market also did not appear obvious price drop. In fact, the price of general commodity housing in Shanghai is still stable, before shouting "price" slogan, only some of the suburbs outside the hot sale, especially outside the ring plate. The Han property figures also show that the prices of these remote sector flats are also within 5%. Some people in the industry told reporters that these properties compared with the urban area, itself is not scarce, it is difficult to "preserve" when the market environment is poor.　　And in the regulatory measures before the introduction of these plate property prices have been a significant increase. Han real estate for more than 100 of its stores survey data show that since October, the initiative to withdraw the intention of the number of customers accounted for the total transaction of about 30%, of which the first purchase and improvement of the purchase of customers accounted for half. But this does not mean that buyers have completely eliminated the idea of buying, in addition to those who do not bear the down payment and interest rate buyers have to "be checked out" and "be seen", there are still many people "waiting for action."　　Shanghai's aunt on behalf of a lot of home buyers mentality, she told reporters, by the "Limit purchase order" impact, their own a "gradual gradual" type of purchase plan has been completely disrupted, now the plan is step. At present, the Shanghai property market generally played a "preferential" brand. According to the SouFun Data Monitoring Center statistics, as of October 19, November, the estimated discount 148 sales, the chain Rose 4%.　　However, more than half of the discounted real estate is only 90 percent or more, the total price discount of 100,000 yuan, far from the psychological expectations of home buyers.　　by October sporadic "check-out tide" impact, a number of real estate options delayed opening, especially in more than 10 Shanghai inner ring within the high-end property "collective late." At the same time, October 28, Shanghai October, the last sale of residential land by Xu Fai Group to 456 million won, a premium of 193%, floor land price of 8160 yuan/square meters. Asahi said "value for money".　　Insiders said that all kinds of indications, despite the gradual effect of regulatory impact, but the relatively scarce high-quality residential plots are still no lack of developers, developers are still "not bad money." Beijing: The price oscillation adjustment is not big. Shunming, a senior analyst at the China Index Institute, said in an interview yesterday that the new deal had a big impact on Beijing's real estate market. Since the regulation policy of April this year, the sales volume of Beijing housing has obviously dropped,By 8 September This year, there has been a noticeable pick-up in momentum. Late September this year, the state has introduced a series of regulatory policies, Beijing also introduced pre-sale funds management and other regulatory measures, turnover after a series of sharp, after October this year again showed a marked downward trend. "Overall, the policy has a big impact. And from the price, the April regulation of the policy issued, the Beijing house prices did not appear to rise sharply, the adjustment trend, individual properties, and more real estate prices showed a downward trend, but the decline is not big. "she said. [Page] reporter learned that, in terms of house prices and turnover, September 20 ~ 26th, Beijing commercial Residential week sales area of about 209,400 square meters, after a week, up to 337,000 square meters, national day down to 179,300 square meters, after the rise to 210,000 square meters. As of October 18 ~ 24th, the week sales of only 150,200 square meters.　　In terms of sales price, after October, Beijing commodity residential sales price hovering between 18000~20000 yuan per square metre. "We believe that the impact over a long period of time, Beijing housing prices are unlikely to rise sharply." Shunming said the regulation was relatively thorough, but not completely. The mechanism for rising house prices is still there, so the likelihood of a big drop in house prices is slim. The previous regulation policy is mainly administrative measures, although not completely, but certainly will play a role, and will continue for a long time. "Overall, the state is determined to regulate mainly from the state of the overall economic development, and at present, the Chinese economy is in a new round of rising stage, good economic situation, in this case, it is easy to cause a sharp rise in house prices, so more need to curb the situation of rising housing prices." In the long run, if house prices are likely to rise rapidly, such regulatory measures may be in place, new regulatory policies will be put in position, or existing regulatory policies will be tougher. "If the government is not worried about a slowdown in economic growth, it will be the first to regulate the real estate industry, because it involves financial and real estate two sectors, its financial risks, and the excessive development of industry will cause the risk of economic development imbalance, therefore, whether from financial security or economic restructuring perspective, The government should curb the excessive rise in house prices without overheating the property market.　　As a result, the likelihood of a big jump in house prices in Beijing has been less. Beijing second-hand housing market, Beijing professional research institutions in the analysis of the impact of the New deal, pointed out that the new deal on the Beijing second-hand housing market regulation does have an impact.　　According to the relevant statistics, since October, as of 27th this month, Beijing second-hand residential network signed a number of transactions in September fell more than 10%, the sale of sales volume in September fell 8.44%, buy customers down 1.11%, Beijing second-hand housing market October turnover decline, has almost become a foregone conclusion.　　Tianjin: "Purchase Order" or "House robbery order"? October 14, the Tianjin municipal government officially issued a temporaryWhen the introduction of a limited household home purchase policy, the policy of the start time for the purchase of October 13, but there is no clear cut-off time.　　It is understood that the Tianjin "limit purchase order" not only does not count the number of homes previously purchased, limited to the implementation of the scope is only not including the Binhai New area and the city of the 4 areas of the city's 6 districts.　　And Shenzhen, Nanjing and other cities directly to the third "limit purchase" of the "strict school" compared to Tianjin and other cities regardless of the number of individuals before the owner of the house, to the family unit can still buy a new house of loose policy, indeed appear "gentle" a lot. Reporter from Tianjin more than real estate companies and property to understand that the implementation of "limited purchase", Tianjin's overall housing prices and the city's 6 district housing prices are showing a rise in the price of the situation, and the city of 4 and Binhai New District and the new house and second-hand housing market is showing uneven development trend.　　In this regard, insiders believe that will limit the scope of purchase in the City 6 district of commercial housing, to suppress speculation in the city property this Tianjin property market "faucet" has a certain positive role, and restrictions on the purchase of new buildings in the city will usher in Tianjin City of 4 and Binhai Area property market "Spring" is time to prove.　　"Scarce resources" to carry? Due to the relatively small area of 6 districts in Tianjin, availability is relatively scarce, so for many families, this is intended to curb the number of households in each family policy, it may also lead to "every family will not let go of this one of the only local purchase opportunities, so that local residents or foreign investors in a short period of time to snap up the city 6 of the housing sector .　　In this way, the city's 6 district of Tianjin, "limited purchase order" may be turned into a "Rob House order." In this connection, the chain of real Estate marketing department Responsible Person said, at present, Tianjin property market mainly rely on rigid demand to support, the introduction of limited purchase orders, in the severe crackdown on speculative behavior, will undoubtedly be part of the housing improvement of the newly-purchased groups have a certain impact, or even cause the market irrational "madness." Yesterday, the reporter came to the city center, including the Old Town, Nanjing Road and other lots of sales offices, almost unanimously answered: "Our house is located in the city center, is a scarce resource, no matter how the price control will not fall." "And in the opening of the 17th this month, Tianjin Poly Metropolis, the first day of the morning on the sale of more than 300 sets, according to the Sales Center property consultant Liu, real estate sales price of 20,000 yuan/square meters," because the location of the real estate is located in the heart of Tianjin Heping District, Prices are lower than some of the other buildings nearby, so it is not surprising that the sales are unusually hot after the opening. "Subsequently, the reporter came to the Wanda Plaza in Ho Dong District Avenue," Our commercial housing is now sold out.　　"The project's sales director Sun Ying told reporters that the real estate in the Spring Festival just opened when the average price of only eight thousand or nine thousand yuan/square meters, but sold to the last average price has risen to 15,000 yuan/square meters. "I think the restriction has no effect on me personally, especially in the case where there is no need for a loan, and there is not much new property in 6 districts in the city, and it is estimated that a few years latercan only buy second-hand housing.　　"In the Meijiang of Tianjin, the rich and Jin door of the house selected Mr. Cai," the implementation of the "Limit purchase order" simply can not block the real people want to buy a house, even if the "index" of their new buy a house, you can also find relatives and friends "idle indicators." In the vicinity of Hebei District, Hongqiao District, several property sales offices were told by the staff that there is no special offer.　　Even if there are individual projects to launch a few sets of special rooms, concessions are very small.　　14 City issued a limit purchase order for the introduction of the housing tax cushion?　　Why are these cities issuing "purchase restriction orders"? The reporter found that the current restrictions on the purchase of cities mainly concentrated in the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta, the Bohai Sea and Hainan and other fast-growing economic development of the first and second-tier cities, but also including Sanya, Haikou, a scarce natural resources, facing the national customers of the tourist city. In the case of urban development prospects, whether local purchasing power, the purchasing power of the surrounding or the purchasing power from all over the country, they provide a solid foundation for the rise of house prices in these cities. It should be said that Beijing, Shanghai, the two most central cities in addition to the strong local demand for buying, high-end buyers across the country will also be in Beijing, Shanghai to own property and proud. Shenzhen, Ningbo and Fuzhou are the big cities where investment clients have become rich, and in the case of speculators, the prices of these cities will always fluctuate wildly. Hangzhou, Dalian, Sanya and Haikou have more treasure of natural tourism resources, especially the beginning of this year, Hainan international tourism Island construction rose for the national strategy of the News released, Sanya and Haikou property market was immediately surrounded by crazy buyers from all over the country.　　Nanjing, Tianjin and Guangzhou are the core cities of the East Nancong of China, and the increasing urban construction and the increasing status of cities in recent years have also made the prices of these core cities 2009 ~2010 relative to 2008. From the comprehensive summary of the various restrictions on the form of purchase order is not difficult to see, because the ban on the purchase of the third suite, Shenzhen, Nanjing, "Limited purchase order" is the most stringent. Other cities such as Shanghai and Hangzhou will not consider the number of houses they originally owned, equality of opportunity, and each household can still buy a new house, which is also called the "gentle" limit purchase order. Guangzhou's limited purchase order may also allow each family (in addition to no tax, Social security certificate) to buy a new house, but because in order to block the opportunity for investors to take loopholes, but also special provisions under the age of 18 minors can not buy a separate commercial housing, the strict degree than the industry imagine strong, between the "strict version" and "Gentle version" of the purchase order.　　As for the cities such as Xiamen, Fuzhou and Haikou, which have already stipulated the limit of purchase orders until the end of this year, the local people have questioned the "sincerity" of their limited purchase orders, and even fear that after the end of the "limited purchase period", there will be a retaliatory rebound in the market. The capital pressure changes at the end of China's small house enterprises the reporter found that the country's 14 cities, the majority of the restrictions on the number of new homes, a handful of housing, including the total number of houses to limit. Real estate sources said that under the limited purchase order, buyers and sellers to the housing market prospects of serious polarization, unlike the 2007 two housing policy first implemented, the buyers and sellers of the housing market, the prospect of a consistent bearish, resulting in the 2008 property prices loose. As a side of the owners, most people think that the house "sold not to buy back", so stop put, and other restrictions on the purchase order. As for the buyers side, some people think that the government's determination to control property prices is very strong, or temporarily not to go into the market, others believe that only the supply of scarce goods will be limited to purchase, the streets vomiting blood sale of goods no one to buy, so if they still qualify for new housing, they will still be in the market.　　Even some people who have not thought of entering the market before will go into the market because they do not want to waste the target.　　2007 Two housing policy announced that the 2008 developer Price promotion led to an inflection point in the property market, the country's 14 house prices rise too fast cities to implement temporary restrictions, let the market speculation 2010 whether the property market inflection point.　　Industry personage Analysis, the developer will be able to sell the house price, mainly depends on two main factors: one is the fund condition, the second is the anticipation of the future house price. Capital, many housing companies this year sales are still hot, sales back to increase the obvious, but its financing channels are limited, many enterprises to purchase land costs increased significantly.　　The reporter learned from some developers, for some of the capital of small and medium-sized housing enterprises, the end of a lot of loans will expire, enterprises will face greater financial pressure, there may be a reduction in sales potential.　　Will it be a property tax after the purchase order? As a temporary administrative measure, as of now, all the restrictions on the purchase order in addition to Xiamen, Fuzhou and Haikou, there is no announcement of restrictions on the duration of purchase orders. "Interim enforcement" and "within the limit purchase order" become vague words in the order of purchase restriction. Although the expiry date of the limited purchase order in Xiamen, Fuzhou and Haikou ended December 31, the local industry was not optimistic about the time limit, and they believed that the government was "watching its business and listening to its words", and that if the control effect was not achieved within 3 months, the restriction could be postponed. The real estate industry personage thinks, the limit purchase order should at least last six months only then will appear the regulation effect, the year-end peak season and next spring's off-season may be limited to buy. The market is also guessing that the end of the purchase period will be the beginning of the implementation of the property tax? After all, the government is also worried about the end of the purchase limit to the flood of the market will again push up the price of high-rise, making the limit once again become a "central air-conditioning."　　Perhaps the overall consideration of the Government is that the time limit for the purchase order and the timing of the imposition of the property tax should be imposed. It is understood that Chongqing, Shanghai is likely to become a housing levy real estate tax pilot city. According to various media reports, Chongqing is currently reported to the Ministry of Finance, the State administration of taxation, housing and urban and rural construction of the pilot program, the use of "more than the number, the larger area"-the rate of gradual increase in the progressive tax method. Shanghai's property tax rate is expected to be 0.3%~0.4%. There are news that Beijing and Shenzhen may also be included in the pilot cities, the central government to levy a real estate tax is more urgent, hope that in several pilot cities to implement the property tax, next year can be promoted in the country. No, because of the imposition of taxes and the scope of the levy, tax rates, the way to adopt and other aspects of the pilot cities difficult to reach a consensus, so the specific levy time of property tax is still not clear. (Reporter Li Fengho, Chen Bai fan)