The age of labor shortage is coming

Labor shortage spread the time for the arrival of labour shortages in our country reporter Wu Lihua intern reporter Li Ying Beijing, February 17, the Lantern Festival, as a construction site in Hubei Project manager, Wang June is not an intentional feast.　　Lantern Festival on the official end of the Spring Festival, Wang June's site will be officially started, but he is a keeper to worry about.　　The keeper's salary has been added to one months, 2000 yuan, before the recruit a few workers still feel low wages, free activity time, few days left.　　Wang June told reporters, he is located in Yichang, Hubei province, in previous years rarely for people to worry about, often someone to the site to ask not need to recruit, this year but the reverse, so that he is located in the middle of the city he also experienced a "labor shortage." Worried people are not only Wang June, Beijing car wash Shop Zhang boss is also worried about the job, several years ago after a few employees quit the wages, recently posted on the Internet recruitment ads, also in some stations posted small ads.　　But not many people call to ask.　　From Hubei to Beijing, recruitment is only a microcosm of this employment season, in the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta and even the Midwest region, labor shortage is spreading, in previous years, seemingly unlimited labor in the Spring festival has become unusually scarce.　　"Huaxia Times" reporters after the Chinese New year to interview learned that the labor shortage is not a simple migrant workers in the past few years, nor is it only in the coastal manufacturing areas of the local phenomenon, but appears in a number of industries, almost all over the country's general phenomenon.　　From entrepreneurs to ordinary workers, from economists to government officials, there seems to be a consensus that the Lewis inflection point that has long been debated is really coming, and then there is a new era in a manufacturing plant that attracts global attention with cheap labor, a time when labor is no longer cheap. From "Find work difficult" to "recruitment difficult" February 16 morning, in Beijing, the six-lane Qiaodong bus Station, 23-Year-old Shei refused a recruiter out of a monthly salary of 3000 yuan sales work, "wages are too low."　　Shei gave a reason for refusing.　　He told reporters that the construction site of his one-month salary has reached 3500 yuan, working conditions are good, but such wages and treatment in Beijing when he did not think about. 5 years ago, 18-year-old Shei and the villagers came to Beijing to work together, "at that time the salary is 1000 yuan a little bit more, eat the living is very poor, but still insist on coming."　　"Shei told the reporter, at that time own idea is, has the work place on the line, as far as the salary is more than at home the land is much stronger, even if this, then the work or the fellow introduction, the job is not easy to find." 5 years later, the 23-year-old Shei Apparently emboldened enough, he told reporters, no longer so no choice, work to their liking, dry comfortable can.　　In the six-lane Qiaodong bus station, those who come to "join the fun" of the recruiter compared with the emboldened. The recruiter told reporters that they had been wandering around the bridge for the past few days, hiring salesmen to work, "within 3 days, wagesHas risen from the previous 2000 yuan to 3000 yuan, but still difficult to recruit people.　　"In the six-lane bridge bus station, there are many people who have the same experience, they hold a" high salary recruitment "sign, see holding luggage like a job to come up to chat, but most will touch rebuff.　　A recruiter surnamed Chen said he was sent by the company to recruit real estate salesmen, with a minimum wage of 1500 yuan, a 3 per thousand Commission on a house, no strict requirements on recruiting targets, and arranging paid training.　　Even so, he only recruited 7 people in a few days, and most people felt they were underpaid, or that they were less suited to such jobs. Six Li Bridge near Lotus Pond long-distance bus station, many foreign workers will be here to get off, many recruitment enterprises will be here to send recruiters, or posted job information.　　However, the reporter observed that in the six-lane bridge near a number of bus stations, although there are a lot of luggage in the field to return to Beijing, but the public transport platform, advertising and other places of recruitment information, very few people.　　Wenzhou SME Association President Dewen told our correspondent, in the private enterprises developed Wenzhou, many enterprises because the shortage of migrant workers can not work, according to his research, the current operating rate in Wenzhou less than 50%, Wenzhou City, a conservative estimate of the manufacturing workers reached hundreds of thousands of people.　　At present, the local media ads in Wenzhou region are mostly recruitment information, no strength of small enterprises in the railway station, bus station set up recruitment point "Rob people", what is more, enterprises out of a number of buses to labor output of the big province directly pull workers. Recruitment difficulties also appeared in the Pearl River Delta region, the official data show that Shenzhen employment gap of 200,000 people, Zhongshan employment gap is 56,000 people.　　Even if the traditional labor output in Sichuan, Hubei, Henan and other land also appeared the problem of difficult recruitment.　　Labor shortage in the era of the original waiting for migrant workers to take the initiative to the door, why a wide range of "recruitment difficult"?　　Eager to recruit the royal army, the most direct reason is still wages, in his yichang, the price rise is very severe, the cost of living is also improving, anxious to recruit his decision to "first look at the situation, it is not only the first increase in wages." This coincides with the view of Zoshore, chief economist of the Galactic Securities.　　She points out that labor shortages mean a shortage of labour or a lack of labour supply, but the underlying problem is price.　　Zoshore author pointed out that if the enterprise change a train of thought, the monthly salary 2000 yuan recruit person, that month salary 3000 yuan, even 3500 yuan? Another phenomenon explains where workers who are unwilling to work cheaply are going. "I don't earn as much as I do in my Home farm, and I don't make a lot of money in order to be a foreigner," he said.　　"A Shandong farmer who returned to Beijing after Spring Festival and failed to find a satisfactory job is preparing to return home to make a living." "No rise in wages will not recruit people", "labor market shortages", as the labor shortage intensified, people found that the currentThe shortage of labor supply in China is increasingly like the "Lewis inflection point" put forward by American economist SALCC. Some experts have made it clear that Lewis's inflection point has arrived.　　Gao Shanwen, chief economist at Standard Chartered Bank China, Stephen Green and chief economist of Security securities, even thinks China may have entered the Lewis inflection point a few years ago.　　In Lewis's theory, in the process of industrialization, with the gradual shift of surplus rural labor to non-agricultural industry, surplus countryside surplus labor force gradually reduced, finally exhausted, in the process of labor from surplus gradually to shortage, due to the pressure from the traditional agricultural sector, the industrial sector wages began to rise, the industry sector wages appear inflection point. In the past, China's migrant labor force has been oversupply, most migrant workers as described in the previous Shei like "There are work places on the line", now with the specific background factors change, if not raise wages will not recruit people, there are labor shortage.　　With the shortage of urban labor and the rise in wages in the industrial sector, the Lewis inflection point in the theory seems to be on the Chinese economy. China's demographic structure is changing and there is no sign of turning around, says Stephen Green.　　We are not sure whether the era of cheap labour in China has ended, but there is no doubt that there is a noticeable upward trend in China's wage levels.　　Gao Shanwen The study pointed out that in the 2007, China's labor supply curve began to tilt upward, and through the migrant workers to maintain the necessary livelihood of a wage level, peasant workers wage pricing method is determined by the survival needs, transformed into the efficiency of marginal output decided.　　This result undoubtedly and "Lewis inflection point" theory of the description is very consistent, and indeed, in the past few years, migrant workers wage increase is not the background, the coastal enterprise recruitment difficulties gradually appear, labor shortage began to spread, this year is extended to the middle of the traditional labor export large province. Previous 1234 Next