Become the potential of a huge sunrise industry robot ERA has come!

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As the demographic dividend disappears, labor costs rise and industry transitions and upgrades, "robots" have replaced the "World Factory" as a hot concept in domestic manufacturing.

A large number of companies have entered the robot market, trying to get a slice of the boom. There is no doubt that the new wave of technology under the background of the robot is becoming a huge potential sunrise industry.

Liu Jinchang, a researcher at the High-tech Research and Development Center of the National Ministry of Science and Technology, and deputy Director of the Robotics Research Center at Zhejiang University, Zhu Shijiang in an interview with the 21st century Economic report, said the robot era had arrived.

40 industrial parks and 36 key cities layout robot industry

"21st century": at the national level, and robot-related country has 40 industrial parks, 36 cities are key cities?

Liu Jinchang: This data is not fully counted, but the direct and indirect enterprises are more than 4,000, and more than 300 enterprises are added every year. Siasun and Bosch are new listings, with 30-50 listed companies starting to dabble in these industries through mergers and acquisitions and technology.

At present, the domestic robot enterprises are growing, the Government also attaches great importance, such as Albert, only last year, the output value has done more than 300 million, Dajiang company, last year's output value 500 million, this year's output value of more than 2 billion.

"21st century": the current many enterprises to do robotics, will not lead to market overheating and vicious competition?

Liu Jinchang: At present, the whole economic form of the manufacturing industry is in the low-end state, many labor-intensive industries, the labor cost increases, many industries do is a loss of business. In addition to the cost of personnel to continue to upgrade, energy pollution, environmental and human security is also a factor to be noted, the manufacturing industry does not have very high profits, they have in the entire industrial chain for more resources, regardless of transportation, medical, communications, are the development of machine substitutions in the future direction.

The combination of industry and virtual industry is also a trend in the future. Now there are only 23 Chinese manufacturing industrial robots in China, this data shows that the real machine substitution space is still very large.

Zhu Shijiang: Any High-tech development, there is a beginning of growth, and then to follow up, the final trend of rational process. But overall assessment, I think the outside look very hot robot industry situation, in fact, completely not overheating, from the economic point of view, overheating is over-investment, the formation of excess capacity, resulting in too many products.

Many now also use robots as a scene in science fiction, but as a tool of production, especially as an alternative to human equipment, our understanding is not in place, so in a short period of time to cause public perception of its bias.

Relative to the previous, now a short time, many enterprises into the industry, to the outside world caused such a market overheating impression. In fact, the domestic robot industry is still in the climbing stage, we still need to think about its future trend, the scale of demand.

In my opinion, competition is one of the most fundamental characteristics of market economy. Not afraid of competition, is afraid of disorderly competition and in which the blind competition. At present, many of our manufacturing industry is still in the growth stage, nothing more than by foreign equipment to seize the market, facing more foreign enterprises, how to compete with them to achieve the comparative advantage.

Lack of core components domestic robot Development Limited

"21st century": in the robot industry, the bottleneck of domestic enterprises?

Liu Jinchang: Domestic original technical ability not, for example, the robot industry's core parts reducer this thing is very complex, foreign buy a set of reducer, and sold to us a set of reducer price difference several times, so our parts are higher than others, the cost of making robots is higher than others, but the technology is weaker than others, So who's going to buy it?

In fact, the cost of making a robot is much higher than that of a foreign country, but we have to sell it cheaper than others, in a very passive state.

And like the six-axis general robot or four families (ABB, Japan, Japan Yaskawa, Germany Treasury card) dominated, they are mainly in the automotive industry, such as the kind of 125 and 250 kg of fast moving robots, we still do not do at home.

Zhu Shijiang: At present, in addition to the body of the robot, we are most subject to two, one is the reducer, one is the servo motor. But in fact, we have more basic sensor problems and intelligent design problems.

Related to some of our basic components, Wenzhou, some enterprises are getting closer to maturity, such as we do in the controller, the basis is good. But there are many aspects of robotics that may be good for a particular enterprise, but when it comes to the final integration, there are technical problems, manufacturing problems.

"21st century": the development of the robot industry involves the whole industry chain, can be divided into the upstream core components, middle-tier manufacturers and downstream system integrators three levels. Which of the domestic enterprises is relatively deficient?

Liu Jinchang: In fact, there is a problem at home. Now the system integration ability is weaker, now with 10 robots to do one thing at the same time, the control of the whole beat, is not a robot can solve. A control system, a line, 250 robots at the same time, each robot can control, this difficulty is relatively large.

Zhu Shijiang: In fact, every aspect is very important, perhaps this product in the laboratory design is very perfect, the design of the prototype performance is entirely possible to achieve world-class standards, but to large-scale production, the situation may be different. Material problems, basic processing capacity problems, production management process problems, will affect the quality of products.

"21st century": the domestic robot product industrialization process will be more difficult than abroad?

Zhu Shijiang: This is not necessarily true. The development of foreign robots, but also experienced a process of immaturity to maturity, now we are walking on the basis of their mature road, take us now experimental phase of things, and others do very mature things than, the disadvantage of natural obvious.

But the robot covers a wide range, in addition to as a production equipment robot, as well as service robots, special equipment and military robots, we are almost at the same starting line with foreign countries, it depends on how we go this way.

"21st century": some enterprises reflect that the robot from production to the use of the process is still quite difficult?

Zhu Shijiang: First of all, the operation of the general robot has a number of special areas of requirements, but the actual application may be various, the need to install a number of ancillary equipment, and these ancillary equipment is often non-standard, more difficult.

Second, in the application process, users need a certain level of technology to apply such equipment. And our current application, often do not have this ability.

There is another aspect, our production in turn to the requirements of the robot, Zhejiang Province, many enterprises produce a variety of specifications, and the robot, through is programmed to achieve, when you change, inside a lot of control things need to change.

Pull 5 times times the relative value of the robot can reshape Chinese manufacturing?

"21st century": whether it can be understood that the development of the robot industry to other ancillary facilities put forward different requirements, the robot industry can actually drive a series of ancillary industry development? The market behind this is huge?

Zhu Shijiang: It can be said that the industry has an assessment that the robot industry will pull 1:5 of the relevant output. For example, I 1 million yuan of a robot produced, may be driven back and forth 5 million of the output value.

I have probably judged before 56, the service robot will develop faster than the industrial robots, the total market capacity of service robots will be larger than industrial robots. The specific development speed has verified my statement, specific time many experts also have forecast, probably to 2017 civil robot output value may surpass industrial robot's output value.

"21st century": in the national level or Zhejiang level, which industry is the key industry of robot development?

Liu Jinchang: Because of the consistency of the automotive and robotics industries, nearly half of all robots are used in the automotive industry, from car parts to vehicles, to use robots, 300,000 cars in the automotive industry, and at least more than 600 machines, including parts and vehicles.

There are ceramics, sanitary industry, such as the grinding of the faucet, grinding the metal powder on the human body is bad, at that time in China's Fujian Zhongyu group to see the value of 4 billion a year, indeed it is really best to use the robot.

Zhu Shijiang: All walks of life, Zhejiang Province, the largest feature is a block economy, different regions also have different industry characteristics, there are different pillar industries, such as Hangzhou, auto parts production, mechanical and electrical processing, such as Ningbo, home appliances production, such as Jinhua, hardware auto parts and so on.

"21st century": Zhejiang to promote the "machine substitution" The main driving force?

Liu Jinchang: First of all, this is in line with the development stage of Zhejiang Province, in the level of economic development, in addition to Guangdong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang ranked fourth. Zhejiang introduced the "machine substitution" because its economic development and industrial development entered this stage. Second, Zhejiang machine substitution is also in line with the major economic restructuring of the general direction.

Zhu Shijiang: First of all, Zhejiang's industrial development situation, in fact, has arrived at a period of not to turn. Second, as a province with a highly developed economy, Zhejiang there is a period of time migrant workers are very many, most of the time in Zhejiang's migrant workers to reach 25 million, but now many regions, the industry has slowly developed, simple labor-intensive industries, gradually shifted to the central and western regions, leading to the difficulties of recruitment in Zhejiang.

Therefore, in general, one is the industrial transformation and upgrading, there is a labor force inflection point of reality, together to promote the development of the robot industry.