World Youth Festival Korean military conflict, the core of the dispute in the end?

After 7 years, the Koreas clashed again in disputed waters. On the morning of 10th, the North Korean and South Korean navy had a brief firefight in the western part of the peninsula, and the North Korean patrol boat was damaged in the crossfire.
for historical reasons
The two sides are currently diverging the cause of the event. Seoul said the ship crossed the "Northern Line" is the cause of the conflict, while Pyongyang accused Korean in the North Korean sea provocation, first fired at the DPRK side. The core of the dispute is clearly the different positions of the two sides on the territorial waters.
After the Korean War ended in 1953, the parties delineated the "38 line" as the north and south of the land military demarcation Line, then, South Korea and the United States by virtue of maritime strength, unilaterally set the "Northern Line", South Korea has been "Northern Line" as the two sides of the maritime military Demarcation line, but North Korea has never recognized the sea "38 line".
on the other hand, the conflict is also related to Mr Lee's hard-line policy towards the DPRK. When Roh Moo-hyun was president of South Korea, he expressed his willingness to renegotiate the maritime boundary with the DPRK side, and in the Declaration on peace and prosperity, the two sides also proposed to establish a special zone for peaceful cooperation between the Western sea and the fishing. But President Lee Myung-bak changed his position after taking office and shelved the West Sea agreement. "This has increased the chances of both sides wiping their guns in the disputed area," said Shi Yongming, an Asia Pacific expert at the China Institute for International Studies. "
Accidental conflicts?
In fact, there has been sporadic fighting between the north and the South due to disputes over maritime boundaries. In the 80 's, there had been clashes between the Koreas in the sea. June 15, 1999 and June 29, 2002, the North Korean navy in the "northern boundary" waters two exchanges of fire, and caused more casualties. According to South Korean media reports, 10th of the exchange of fire caused North Korea 1 dead 3 injured, South Korea no casualties.
So, is the north-South Korean exchange of fire in the disputed waters, as in the 1999 and 2002, the general occurrence of the incident? Or do you mean it?
Although the north-south hostile situation has not changed radically, the DPRK nuclear issue has not been effectively resolved, but at present, the DPRK-US relations still appeared to ease the trend, not only the DPRK has disclosed the end of this year or early next year to carry out the talks, it is reported that the DPRK and South Korea also held a secret talk in Singapore, Pyongyang has also revived the proposal to launch a new round of North-South summit meetings. From this background analysis, both the north and the South may not want to make a big fuss at this moment. "Compared to the previous two conflicts, the scale of the Korean brief naval exchange is relatively small and likely to be an occasional conflict," said Professor Shi Yuanhua, director of the South Korean Research Center at Fudan University. "
in accordance with the situation of such conflicts in the past, although the current Seoul and Pyongyang blame each other, but as long as we do not inadvertently, not to expand the situation, complications," 11?10 "the development trend of the exchange of fire, may be the same as the previous two, the compromise between the two sides.
In fact, the supreme command of the Korean People's Army has issued a press release requesting HanThe military apologized and took steps to prevent the recurrence of similar incidents. The tone of the communiqué was largely moderated, without a strong stance or a claim to respond. South Korea's government said on the same day that "calm" to deal with the exchange of fire, and the current exchanges and cooperation between the DPRK will not be affected, as usual. Can the
bring opportunities?
It is noteworthy that the latest maritime exchanges between the two Koreas are taking place at a critical juncture for U.S. President Barack Obama's upcoming visit to Asia, which has also generated much imagination.
According to the Xinhua news agency, the Associated Press said Obama had decided to accept North Korea's invitation to send North Korea envoy Bosworth to the DPRK, which will be the first direct dialogue between the United States and the DPRK government. Reuters analysts said the incident may be due to the DPRK side to seek to increase their bargaining chips with the United States. However, from the reaction of the two Koreas, the conflict seems to be out of hand, the situation may not be out of control, the impact of the event on the negotiations will be limited, at least the Obama administration is not willing to see the Korean peninsula, but also calls on both sides to exercise restraint.
There is no doubt that conflict is not a good thing. After all, the future development of Sino-Korean relations and the advancement of the DPRK nuclear issue will depend to a large extent on whether both sides can maintain restraint and calm, and to maintain security and stability in Northeast Asia. But Liu, a professor at the Institute of International Studies at Tsinghua University, also pointed out that since there has been no consensus on maritime demarcation between the two Koreas, it is not clear that this will be an opportunity for the two sides to discuss the issue of maritime demarcation.